U.S. Aerospace & Defense Execs Expect Significant M&A, Industry Consolidation Amid Sequestration Budget Cuts: KPMG Survey
Companies Have 'Significant' Cash Available, Will Invest in Acquisitions, New Products and Foreign Expansion to Drive Growth; Economic Recovery Not Seen Soon
NEW YORK, June 28, 2012 /PRNewswire/ -- Armed with significant cash on their balance sheets, and faced with hundreds of billions of dollars in federal defense budgets, U.S. aerospace and defense (A&D) executives cite strategic acquisitions as the highest-priority investment area to spur company growth, according to a recent survey by KPMG LLP, the audit, tax, and advisory firm.
In the 2012 KPMG A&D Industry Outlook survey, nearly three-quarters (71 percent) of A&D executives say their companies will be involved in a merger or acquisition in the next two years. In addition, 64 percent of A&D executives indicate that their companies have significant cash on their balance sheets, and more than half (53 percent) say they will increase capital spending this year.
Many executives say the highest-priority use for that capital will be strategic acquisitions for their companies (49 percent) – up significantly from 41 percent in KPMG's 2011 survey. Forty-two percent say they will also aggressively invest in new products and services.
"The way we see it, there's a day of reckoning coming, and many A&D executives are telling us that this may spur an industry response similar to what drove major industry consolidation in the 1980s and 1990s, or perhaps an even more dramatic response," said Martin Phillips, U.S. and global leader of KPMG's aerospace and defense practice. "They are rethinking their strategies and becoming much more aggressive to drive growth and compete."
Phillips adds that U.S. government contracts are dwindling, companies are becoming more global, and foreign investors are looking to move into the "non-government" A&D sector as well. "All of these factors set the stage for much more aggressive M&A, product strategies and international growth initiatives."
In fact, when asked about the biggest drivers of revenue growth over the next three years, A&D executives most frequently cited acquisitions and joint ventures (50 percent) and new product development (50 percent). In addition to continued focus on cost reduction and operational improvement, executives say that the top management initiative for their companies in terms of energy, time and resources will be investigating opportunities for mergers and acquisitions.
"Companies must find a way to break through to new customers and markets, which in many cases will only be possible through partnerships, joint ventures or pure acquisitions," said Doug Gates, partner in KPMG's aerospace and defense practice. "In this era of continued belt tightening, we also must not ignore just how attractive some of our domestic assets look to foreign investors, especially as A&D companies look to divest from underperforming assets."
International Expansion Remains a Focus
With a continually challenged domestic defense sector, A&D executives remain focused on international growth. In fact, the four main strategies to fuel that growth are partnerships/joint ventures (41 percent), foreign military sales (38 percent), international expansion (36 percent) and acquisitions (24 percent). According to the A&D executives surveyed by KPMG, the highest priority foreign markets are Asia (other than China), Europe and the Middle East.
Phillips notes "last year 54 percent of executives identified foreign military sales as the key strategy, but the drop in the results this year appears to indicate a realization that the foreign opportunities these companies are pursuing take several years to materialize. We continue hear about India and Brazil, but look at it realistically and you see that foreign military orders have been minimal to date."
Despite foreign sales challenges, looking ahead three years, nearly half (43 percent) of executives surveyed by KPMG say that non-U.S. operations or customers will account for more than a quarter of their companies' revenues, compared with just 35 percent who currently derive more than a quarter of their revenue from foreign operations.
When asked what gives their company a competitive advantage in today's marketplace, executives most frequently cited innovation and new product development, followed by quality of product and service, customer relationships. The greatest constraints to achieving competitive advantage, according to KPMG survey respondents, are total product costs, innovation and the ability to keep ahead of market trends.
Economic Recovery Not Seen Soon
While 62 percent expect modest economic improvement next year, more than half (55 percent) don't see a full economic recovery until 2014 or later. Likewise, most A&D executives in the KPMG survey expect revenue and employment levels to remain flat or increase only modestly next year. When asked to predict when their company's U.S. headcount would return to pre-recession levels, 44 percent said 2014 or later, and 14 percent said "never."
THE KPMG AEROSPACE & DEFENSE INDUSTRY OUTLOOK SURVEY
The KPMG survey was conducted in May 2012 and reflects the responses of 102 senior executives in the A&D industry. Based on revenue in the most recent fiscal year, 39 percent of respondents work for institutions with annual revenues exceeding $10 billion, 38 percent with annual revenues in the $1 billion to $10 billion range, and 23 percent with revenues in the $100 million to $1 billion range.
About KPMG LLP
KPMG LLP, the audit, tax and advisory firm (www.us.kpmg.com), is the U.S. member firm of KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"). KPMG International's member firms have 138,000 professionals, including more than 7,900 partners, in 150 countries.
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